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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterborough United in this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
40.03% ( -0.01) | 25.11% ( -0.08) | 34.86% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.13% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.64% ( 0.36) | 46.36% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% ( 0.33) | 68.65% ( -0.34) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( 0.15) | 23% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% ( 0.23) | 56.8% ( -0.23) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( 0.22) | 25.8% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.25% ( 0.29) | 60.75% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 34.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |