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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Peterborough United

Lincoln
5 - 1
Peterborough

Jefferies (12'), Bayliss (33'), Draper (55' pen.), Hayes (66' og.), Collins (82')
Bayliss (39'), O'Connor (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jade-Jones (60')
Johnston (37'), De Havilland (56'), Susoho (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Peterborough United

Given Peterborough's dire defensive record, Lincoln are likely to score at some point on Saturday. However, considering the Imps struggled against Northampton, they could be overpowered by the Posh and may find it difficult to recover should they concede more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
46.73% (0.183 0.18) 25.15% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 28.12% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.23 0.23)49.12% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.208 0.21)71.19% (-0.203 -0.2)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.179 0.18)21.04% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.273 0.27)53.84% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (0.037000000000006 0.04)31.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.042000000000002 0.04)68.03% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.73%
    Peterborough United 28.12%
    Draw 25.15%
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 10.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Peterborough

Lincoln City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Peterborough United
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Peterborough
1-1
Lincoln
Poku (65')
Collins (44'), Curtis (60'), Sparkes (90+7')
House (33')
Darikwa (52')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Lincoln
0-0
Peterborough
Hackett (21')
Ferguson (22'), Burrows (90+4')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Peterborough
2-0
Lincoln
Ajiboye (52'), Randall (83')
Ajiboye (90+3')

Roughan (45'), Mandroiu (57')
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 37
Lincoln
0-3
Peterborough
Clarke-Harris (28'), Taylor (67'), Ward (83')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Peterborough
4-0
Lincoln
Marriott (21', 50'), Clarke-Harris (29' pen., 43')
Kent (35')

O'Connor (28'), Garrick (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham443293803050105
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham451511195258-656
14Stevenage451511194149-856
15Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield44139225371-1848
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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