EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Peterborough4 - 2Walsall
Lindgren (7', 31'), Mothersille (16' pen., 74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Peterborough United and Walsall.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Everton 2-0 Peterborough
Thursday, January 9 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Thursday, January 9 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
41
Last Game: Walsall 5-1 Tranmere
Saturday, January 11 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, January 11 at 12.30pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
48
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Walsall |
41.07% ( 0.05) | 22.68% ( 0.04) | 36.25% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 66.42% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
