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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Barnsley |
49.33% ( 0.01) | 21.28% ( -0.01) | 29.39% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 68.76% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.87% ( 0.07) | 30.13% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.65% ( 0.08) | 51.35% ( -0.07) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.16% ( 0.03) | 12.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.8% ( 0.05) | 39.19% ( -0.05) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% ( 0.04) | 21.11% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% ( 0.06) | 53.95% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.33% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |