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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Barnsley

Peterborough
1 - 3
Barnsley

Mothersille (74' pen.)
Ferguson (30')
Mills (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pines (47'), Keillor-Dunn (55'), Russell (86')
Pines (29'), O'Keeffe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Barnsley
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-2 Barnsley

Both sides have proven themselves to be strong offensively and weak in defence, so it is unlikely that either side will keep a clean sheet this weekend. However, Peterborough's defensive record is particularly shocking, and given that Barnsley have picked up most of their points on the road this season, the visitors will be confident of securing all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBarnsley
49.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 21.28% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 29.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 68.76% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.87% (0.066000000000003 0.07)30.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.65% (0.078000000000003 0.08)51.35% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.025999999999996 0.03)12.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (0.050999999999995 0.05)39.19% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (0.039000000000001 0.04)21.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (0.058 0.06)53.95% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 49.33%
    Barnsley 29.39%
    Draw 21.28%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.33%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.28%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 4.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Barnsley

Peterborough United
22.9%
Draw
34.3%
Barnsley
42.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Peterborough
2-2
Barnsley
Clarke-Harris (45+2', 48')
Kane (10'), Cole (31')
Connell (87')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Barnsley
1-3
Peterborough
Cotter (51')
Kyprianou (74'), Clarke-Harris (76'), Poku (85')
Kyprianou (44')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Peterborough
1-2
Barnsley
Taylor (21')
Connell (11'), Phillips (61')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barnsley
0-2
Peterborough

Palmer (59')
Marriott (25'), Kent (75')
Poku (52'), Marriott (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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