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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Birmingham logo

Barnsley
1 - 2
Birmingham

Seung-ho (58' og.)
Connell (15'), Clarke (16'), O'Keeffe (23'), Phillips (38'), Cosgrove (83')
Phillips (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (60', 79')
Harris (31'), Laird (87'), Gardner-Hickman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Stockport
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 0-1 Birmingham City

In the midst of a five-game winless run, Barnsley will not be looking forward to the visit of promotion contenders Birmingham on Saturday afternoon. Blues' attack is set to be blunted by the absence of Anderson, but we feel that the visitors should manage to grind out a narrow victory in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBirmingham City
27.67% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 24.73% (0.026 0.03) 47.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.02% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.164 -0.16)47.62% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.152 -0.15)69.82% (0.152 0.15)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.134 -0.13)31.18% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.157 -0.16)67.51% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)20.06% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)52.28% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 27.67%
    Birmingham City 47.59%
    Draw 24.72%
BarnsleyDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.59%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Birmingham

Barnsley
23.3%
Draw
16.7%
Birmingham City
60.0%
30
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
2-1
Barnsley
Hernandez (34'), Hogan (51')
Gardner (90')
Adeboyejo (87')
Palmer (38'), Helik (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Barnsley
1-0
Birmingham
Dike (49')
Halme (77'), Mason (90+4')

Friend (33'), Harper (72')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-2
Barnsley
Hogan (56')
McGree (68'), Leko (77')
Woodrow (71' pen.), Styles (84')
Andersen (58')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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