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League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Northampton Town

Birmingham
1 - 1
Northampton

Stansfield (58')
Allsop (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinnock (90+6')
Guthrie (41'), McGeehan (60'), Allsop (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Birmingham
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Birmingham City 2-0 Northampton Town

Back in League One action for the first time in two weeks, Birmingham will be raring to produce a statement performance and regain control at the top of the table. Low on confidence following the FA Cup defeat to Kettering, we are expecting Northampton to cause the hosts little problems in the Second City this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawNorthampton Town
70.09% (-0.246 -0.25) 17.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 12.07% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.706 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.02% (0.538 0.54)39.98% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.66% (0.553 0.55)62.34% (-0.553 -0.55)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.76% (0.082999999999998 0.08)10.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.41% (0.18600000000001 0.19)33.59% (-0.184 -0.18)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.31% (0.737 0.74)43.69% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.14% (0.604 0.6)79.87% (-0.604 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 70.07%
    Northampton Town 12.07%
    Draw 17.84%
Birmingham CityDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.03% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.079 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 70.07%
1-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 17.84%
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.5% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Northampton

Birmingham City
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Northampton Town
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Northampton
0-1
Birmingham
James (31')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
3-2
Birmingham
Pinnock (12'), Kabamba (23'), Chukwuemeka (68')
Sanchez (2'), Jutkiewicz (38')
Jul 21, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
2-2
Birmingham
Adams (45', 59')
Gray (3'), Novak (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
27-20
Cowboys
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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