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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Crawley Town

Northampton
3 - 0
Crawley

Fosu (16'), Williams (30' og.), Pinnock (55')
Fox (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Darcy (75'), Williams (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Crawley Town

While Crawley did impress in their recent win, Northampton are in much better form heading into this game, and with them also boasting the home advantage, we expect the hosts to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
36.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.2% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 38.59% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 57% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.026000000000003 0.03)46.61% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.88% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.010000000000005 0.01)25.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.85% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.026000000000003 0.03)58.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 36.21%
    Crawley Town 38.59%
    Draw 25.19%
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.59%

How you voted: Northampton vs Crawley

Northampton Town
46.2%
Draw
30.8%
Crawley Town
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
2-3
Northampton
Balagizi (4', 61')
Hoskins (13', 23'), Bowie (90+2')
Hylton (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Northampton
0-1
Crawley

Horsfall (90+3')
Nichols (41')
Lynch (9'), Ashford (87')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
4-0
Northampton
Ferguson (27'), Lubala (62'), Palmer (80'), Bloomfield (84')

McCormack (44'), Wharton (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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