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League One
Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Bolton logo

Crawley
0 - 2
Bolton


Kelley (86'), Mukena (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dempsey (5'), McAtee (78')
Adeboyejo (27'), Evatt (28'), Thomason (59'), Collins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Bolton
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 With little to separate these two sides heading into Saturday's game, the knock-on effect of Crawley losing their manager could just swing this game narrowly in the favour of Bolton, but given the recent defensive frailties of the visitors, it would be a surprise if they kept a clean sheet on the road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBolton Wanderers
29.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 47.8% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)38.48% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)60.77% (0.052 0.05)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)16.42% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.9% (-0.067 -0.07)46.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 29.24%
    Bolton Wanderers 47.8%
    Draw 22.94%
Crawley TownDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: Crawley vs Bolton

Crawley Town
23.1%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
76.9%
13
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Crawley
1-4
Bolton
Rodari (89')
Francomb (12'), Tsaroulla (45'), Nadesan (75'), Powell (79')
Francomb (32')
Sarcevic (9'), Afolayan (26'), Doyle (48'), Isgrove (77')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
0-1
Crawley

Brockbank (41'), Greenidge (64')
Greenidge (90+4')
Francomb (61')
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
Round Two
Crawley
2-1
Bolton
Clarke, Ajose
Afobe
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815
> League One Full Table


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