

Arsenal5 - 1Bolton
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
60.84% (![]() | 21.08% (![]() | 18.08% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.8% (![]() | 42.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.39% (![]() | 64.61% (![]() |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.58% (![]() | 13.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.63% (![]() | 40.36% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.08% (![]() | 36.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.29% (![]() | 73.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
2-0 @ 9.99% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.96% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 60.84% | 1-1 @ 9.91% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.08% | 1-2 @ 4.94% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.08% |
How you voted: Arsenal vs Bolton



