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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
32.3% ( 0.03) | 26.58% ( 0.01) | 41.13% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.78% ( -0.01) | 53.22% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.22% ( -0.01) | 74.78% ( 0.01) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% ( 0.02) | 30.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% ( 0.02) | 67.01% ( -0.02) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.49% ( -0.02) | 25.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.64% ( -0.03) | 60.36% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |