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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Stockport County |
28.12% ( -0.02) | 21.65% ( -0.02) | 50.23% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 66.33% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.11% ( 0.08) | 32.88% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.41% ( 0.09) | 54.59% ( -0.08) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( 0.03) | 23.28% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% ( 0.04) | 57.2% ( -0.04) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% ( 0.04) | 13.54% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.38% ( 0.07) | 40.62% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Stockport County |
2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.12% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.97% Total : 50.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
6 | Blackpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 |
7 | Barnsley | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Stevenage | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Reading | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
15 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 11 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |