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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stockport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Stockport

Quitirna (68' pen.)
Anderson (14'), Lindsey (15'), Williams (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barry (6')
Onyango (40'), Norwood (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-4 Stockport
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Stockport County

While Crawley have avoided defeat in their last two matches against this opponent at this venue, their attack did look blunt leading up to the international break, which does not bode well for their chances against a Stockport side that have only conceded one goal this term. The time off may have given the hosts a chance to reset, but we feel the Hatters will still come away with the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
28.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 21.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 50.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 66.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (0.075000000000003 0.08)32.88% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (0.086999999999996 0.09)54.59% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.039999999999992 0.04)13.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38% (0.073999999999998 0.07)40.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.12%
    Stockport County 50.23%
    Draw 21.65%
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.12%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.46% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-4 @ 3.06% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 50.23%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stockport

Crawley Town
22.2%
Draw
16.7%
Stockport County
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Crawley
1-1
Stockport
Lolas (83')
Lindsey (21'), Orsi (54')
Sarcevic (61')
Pye (20')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
3-3
Crawley
Barry (13'), Sarcevic (36'), Olaofe (89')
Powell (56')
Campbell (42'), Maguire (54'), Orsi (66')
Gladwin (38'), Orsi (56'), Lolas (71'), Henry (85'), Williams (90+1')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stockport
2-1
Crawley
Wootton (12', 51')
Powell (9')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Crawley
3-2
Stockport
Tilley (5'), Telford (35'), Tsaroulla (56')
Crankshaw (17'), Hussey (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
Buccaneers
30-36
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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