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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stockport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Stockport

Lolas (83')
Lindsey (21'), Orsi (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarcevic (61')
Pye (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Notts County
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Stockport County

Stockport have seen three of their last four matches finish all square, and we think that they will have to settle for another draw in Monday's tricky away clash with an in-form Crawley side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
31.59% (-0.414 -0.41) 23.22% (0.229 0.23) 45.18% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 62.78% (-1.057 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.49% (-1.301 -1.3)38.5% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (-1.392 -1.39)60.79% (1.394 1.39)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (-0.869 -0.87)23.96% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-1.258 -1.26)58.2% (1.26 1.26)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (-0.44 -0.44)17.43% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)47.88% (0.774 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 31.59%
    Stockport County 45.18%
    Draw 23.22%
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.97% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.254 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.342 0.34)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 45.18%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stockport

Crawley Town
47.3%
Draw
16.4%
Stockport County
36.4%
110
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
3-3
Crawley
Barry (13'), Sarcevic (36'), Olaofe (89')
Powell (56')
Campbell (42'), Maguire (54'), Orsi (66')
Gladwin (38'), Orsi (56'), Lolas (71'), Henry (85'), Williams (90+1')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stockport
2-1
Crawley
Wootton (12', 51')
Powell (9')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Crawley
3-2
Stockport
Tilley (5'), Telford (35'), Tsaroulla (56')
Crankshaw (17'), Hussey (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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