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Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Crawley Town

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Crawley


Tilley (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orsi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Crawley Town

AFC Wimbledon and Crawley finished 21st and 22nd respectively in League Two last season, so there has been huge improvement from both this term, and we are expecting a tight match on Tuesday, but AFC Wimbledon should just have another quality to secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
56.73% (1.327 1.33) 21.52% (-0.136 -0.14) 21.75% (-1.192 -1.19)
Both teams to score 59.41% (-1.217 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (-0.847 -0.85)38.81% (0.846 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (-0.896 -0.9)61.12% (0.896 0.9)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (0.124 0.12)13.55% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36% (0.25 0.25)40.64% (-0.25 -0.25)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (-1.508 -1.51)31.27% (1.509 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38% (-1.789 -1.79)67.62% (1.79 1.79)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 56.73%
    Crawley Town 21.75%
    Draw 21.52%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.371 0.37)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.409 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.297 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 56.73%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.167 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 21.75%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Crawley

AFC Wimbledon
87.5%
Draw
4.2%
Crawley Town
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')
Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Crawley
Pigott (22')
Rudoni (90+4')
Nadesan (30'), Watters (50')
Powell (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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