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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Walsall |
44.84% ( -0.45) | 22.81% ( 0.08) | 32.34% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 64.68% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.83% ( -0.24) | 36.17% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.72% ( -0.27) | 58.28% ( 0.27) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% ( -0.27) | 16.65% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.51% ( -0.48) | 46.49% ( 0.48) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.59% ( 0.09) | 22.4% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.08% ( 0.14) | 55.92% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.44% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 32.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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