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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Walsall |
47.37% ( -1.21) | 24.29% ( 0.06) | 28.33% ( 1.15) |
Both teams to score 56.97% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.72% ( 0.5) | 45.28% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.38% ( 0.48) | 67.62% ( -0.47) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.78% ( -0.29) | 19.22% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.08% ( -0.49) | 50.92% ( 0.49) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.52% ( 1.11) | 29.48% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.51% ( 1.33) | 65.49% ( -1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 47.37% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.32% Total : 28.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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