MX23RW : Friday, January 31 03:55:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Sutton United

Gillingham
1 - 0
Sutton

Malone (72')
Coleman (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goodliffe (9'), Goodliffe (10'), Hart (83'), Clay (84')
Smith (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton United

This match is shaping up to be a tighter affair than initially expected, with Gillingham's form nosediving while Sutton seemed to have found their fighting spirit again. However, this is the perfect opportunity for the home side to find their scoring boots again, as they have been creating enough chances to put teams to bed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSutton United
48.07% (-0.204 -0.2) 26.43% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 25.5% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.17% (-0.191 -0.19)55.83% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-0.155 -0.16)76.95% (0.155 0.16)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.173 -0.17)23.25% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.253 -0.25)57.17% (0.254 0.25)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 48.07%
    Sutton United 25.5%
    Draw 26.42%
GillinghamDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.07%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.5%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Sutton
0-1
Gillingham

Angol (5'), Milsom (25')
Nadesan (10')
Coleman (76')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Sutton
2-1
Gillingham
Baggott (43' og.), Eastmond (90+3')
McKenzie (78')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!