League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 5Swindon
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Tranmere
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Swindon Town |
35.57% ( -0.02) | 26.62% ( 0) | 37.8% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
