MX23RW : Friday, January 24 13:20:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Carlisle United

Tranmere
1 - 0
Carlisle

Norman (23')
Patrick (38'), Davies (58'), Jennings (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayden (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Tranmere
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Carlisle
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Carlisle United

This weekend's match between Tranmere and Carlisle features two teams who have both struggled with consistency this season. While the home side might expect a comfortable encounter against the team currently bottom of the table, the visitors are unbeaten in their last two matches against Tranmere, suggesting that Saturday's fixture could end in a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
47.68% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.82% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 26.5% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (0.028999999999996 0.03)52.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (0.024999999999999 0.02)74.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.020999999999987 0.02)22.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)55.56% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)71.61% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 47.68%
    Carlisle United 26.5%
    Draw 25.81%
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Carlisle

Tranmere Rovers
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carlisle
1-2
Tranmere
Patrick (7')
Jones (45+1'), Ellis (85')
Davies (7'), Patrick (37')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Carlisle
2-0
Tranmere
Dennis (3', 39')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Carlisle
2-1
Tranmere
Gibson (30'), Harris (66')
Byrne (82')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Tranmere
0-2
Carlisle
Dennis (1', 54')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2661372928131
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17Harrogate TownHarrogate2785142337-1429
18BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
19Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!