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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
57.99% ( 0.31) | 22.61% ( -0.14) | 19.41% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 51.99% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.12% ( 0.36) | 46.88% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.87% ( 0.33) | 69.13% ( -0.33) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.12% ( 0.23) | 15.88% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.9% ( 0.42) | 45.1% ( -0.42) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.8% ( 0.02) | 38.2% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.04% ( 0.02) | 74.96% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 19.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |