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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Doncaster Rovers

Carlisle
0 - 0
Doncaster


Mellish (60')
FT

Maxwell (5'), Molyneux (31'), McGrath (45+1')
McGrath (90+6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Salford City
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 2-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
21.97% (0.163 0.16) 22.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 55.82% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.29% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.24% (0.137 0.14)41.75% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.84% (0.137 0.14)64.16% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (0.22799999999999 0.23)32.73% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (0.256 0.26)69.28% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.012 -0.01)14.83% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)43.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 21.97%
    Doncaster Rovers 55.82%
    Draw 22.21%
Carlisle UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 5.78% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.42%
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.97%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 55.82%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Doncaster
2-1
Carlisle
Maxwell (5'), Hurst (67')
Dennis (87')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Carlisle
3-0
Doncaster
Guy (44'), Stretton (53', 66')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Doncaster
Mellish (78')
Kayode (43')
Whiteman (32', 40')
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-1
Doncaster
Adams (34'), Mason (85' og.)
Joyce (18'), Gillesphey (55')
Rowe (90')
Blair (56'), Lawlor (82')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Doncaster
2-2
Carlisle
Rowe (18'), Marquis (44')
Marquis (93')
Miller (15'), Ibehre (79')
Grainger (49')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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