MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 07:00:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cheltenham Town

Carlisle
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Robson (46'), Neal (69'), Mellish (82'), Sadi (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Archer (17')
Stubbs (29'), Young (55'), Payne (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
35.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 25.25% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 39.28% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)46.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (-0.084 -0.08)69.17% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)23.63% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-0.135 -0.13)57.72% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 35.47%
    Cheltenham Town 39.28%
    Draw 25.25%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.47%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.28%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
0-1
Carlisle
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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