MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 14:40:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Swindon Town

Cheltenham
2 - 3
Swindon

Miller (63'), Archer (78')
Shipley (43'), Miller (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Cox (30'), Wright (34'), McGregor (47')
Ofoborh (14'), Kennedy (15'), Cox (45+2'), Longelo-Mbule (85'), Wright (90+5'), Barden (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Swindon Town

Swindon have not exactly been full of goals this season, and they have only won once in the league in 2024-25, so it is difficult to back them with any real confidence. Cheltenham's form is not great, though, and we are struggling to find a winner here, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawSwindon Town
35.33% (-0.185 -0.18) 26.03% (-0.166 -0.17) 38.63% (0.351 0.35)
Both teams to score 54.03% (0.532 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (0.688 0.69)50.39% (-0.69 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (0.606 0.61)72.33% (-0.605 -0.61)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.217 0.22)27.43% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.278 0.28)62.91% (-0.28 -0.28)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.511 0.51)25.54% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.694 0.69)60.4% (-0.695 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 35.33%
    Swindon Town 38.63%
    Draw 26.03%
Cheltenham TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.33%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 9.56% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.047 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.63%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Swindon

Cheltenham Town
47.5%
Draw
20.0%
Swindon Town
32.5%
40
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Swindon
0-1
Cheltenham

Jaiyesimi (71')
Addai (50')
Raglan (38'), Doyle-Hayes (71'), Lloyd (84')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
Cheltenham
1-1
Swindon
Addai (93')
Thomas (57'), Boyle (76'), Long (95')
Yates (91')
Hunt (80')
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Cheltenham
2-2
Swindon
Hussey (19'), Varney (41')
Broom (25')
Doyle (6', 33')
Isgrove (19'), Lyden (78')
Doughty (71')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cheltenham
3-2
Swindon
Woolfenden (26' og.), Waters (30'), Dawson (37')
Tozer (41'), Boyle (92'), Raglan (94')
Robinson (84'), Richards (90')
Woolfenden (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County28148645281750
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield28109943321139
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
14Bromley2781183635135
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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