Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.