Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.