Carlisle0 - 2Wigan
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
for
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Wigan Athletic
Not only do Wigan have sufficient firepower to ease past their lower-league opponents, but they also boast one of the meanest back lines in English football. The Latics should secure a lead and then see out victory, as they kick-start their EFL Trophy campaign at Carlisle's expense. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Wigan Athletic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wigan Athletic.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
28.47% ( 0.08) | 24.5% ( 0.48) | 47.03% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 56.37% ( -1.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.89% ( -2.1) | 46.1% ( 2.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.6% ( -2.02) | 68.4% ( 2.02) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.2% ( -1.02) | 29.8% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.12% ( -1.25) | 65.88% ( 1.25) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% ( -1.07) | 19.69% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.3% ( -1.76) | 51.69% ( 1.76) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.13) Other @ 3% Total : 47.03% |
How you voted: Carlisle vs Wigan
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Arsenal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
9 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
10 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
11 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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