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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colchester United win with a probability of 45.16%. A draw has a probability of 27.9% and a win for Port Vale has a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Port Vale win it is 0-1 (9.78%).
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Port Vale |
45.16% ( 3.22) | 27.9% ( -0.02) | 26.93% ( -3.2) |
Both teams to score 45.12% ( -1.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8% ( -1.26) | 60.19% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.61% ( -0.97) | 80.38% ( 0.97) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( 1.11) | 26.61% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( 1.44) | 61.84% ( -1.44) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.48% ( -3.26) | 38.52% ( 3.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.73% ( -3.25) | 75.26% ( 3.25) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 13.56% ( 1.02) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.94) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.64) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.65) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.56% Total : 26.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |