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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Port Vale has a probability of 29.8% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Port Vale win is 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.2%).
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Port Vale |
44.52% ( 0.18) | 25.68% ( -0.05) | 29.8% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.36% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% ( 0.16) | 50.43% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% ( 0.14) | 72.37% ( -0.14) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% ( 0.16) | 22.59% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.79% ( 0.23) | 56.2% ( -0.24) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% ( -0.02) | 31.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% ( -0.02) | 67.38% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 31 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 29 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |