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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
36.55% ( 0.38) | 24.65% ( 0.02) | 38.79% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 59% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.96% ( -0.09) | 44.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.58% ( -0.08) | 66.42% ( 0.08) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.23% ( 0.16) | 23.77% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.08% ( 0.24) | 57.92% ( -0.24) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% ( -0.24) | 22.6% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.79% ( -0.37) | 56.21% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |