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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
24.71% ( -0.59) | 24.39% ( -0.22) | 50.9% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 53.44% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.56% ( 0.42) | 48.44% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% ( 0.38) | 70.58% ( -0.38) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.01% ( -0.27) | 33.99% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.33% ( -0.29) | 70.67% ( 0.29) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.96% ( 0.49) | 19.04% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.38% ( 0.8) | 50.62% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.71% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |