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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Swindon Town

Crewe
2 - 1
Swindon

Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
O'Riordan (41'), Long (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Crewe
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
27.6% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 25.22% (0.0019999999999989 0) 47.17% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)49.74% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25% (-0.012 -0.01)71.75% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)32.34% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.85% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.93%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 27.6%
    Swindon Town 47.17%
    Draw 25.22%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.6%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.84%
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.88%
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.17%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
King (30')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 30
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
gameweek 15
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
gameweek 27
Swindon
3-1
Crewe
Hunt (32'), Yates (69'), Rose (72')
Caddis (80'), Woolery (95')
Anene (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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