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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Stevenage

Swindon
0 - 1
Stevenage

FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (25')
Clark (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stevenage

 Stevenage are real contenders for the League Two title, but travelling to Swindon will prove to be a tough test, considering that they have not won in their last four league away games. If any team takes the three points, it is likely to be the visitors, but we expect the spoils to be shared in a very closely-contested game, given that the hosts will be full of confidence after an emphatic win in their last match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStevenage
33.16% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 28.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 38.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.98% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)60.37% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.48% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)80.52% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)30.5% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (-0.151 -0.15)66.72% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 33.16%
    Stevenage 38.3%
    Draw 28.53%
Swindon TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.16%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 12.25%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.3%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stevenage

Swindon Town
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
Stevenage
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 14
Stevenage
2-0
Swindon
Roberts (11', 60')
Piergianni (45+3')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Swindon
0-0
Stevenage

Reed (40'), Iandolo (79')

Reeves (75')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Stevenage
1-1
Swindon
Coker (54')
Payne (90+5' pen.)
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 39
Stevenage
P-P
Swindon
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Stevenage
Doyle (90')
Grant (12'), Fryers (61'), Doyle (92')

Parrett (79'), Denton (90'), Farman (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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