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Championship header 2

League Two
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Crewe Alexandra

Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Crewe

Holohan (13'), Orsi (82')
Khan (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mellor (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

 Grimsby have a fantastic recent record against Crewe, and while they have not been at their best in recent times, they have lost just one of their last eight home games in the league. As such, we expect the Mariners to run out narrow victors in a result that will move them up into the top half of the League Two table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
52.3% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 26.29% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.41% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.17% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)42.83% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)79.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 52.29%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.41%
    Draw 26.29%
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Crewe

Grimsby Town
80.0%
Draw
6.7%
Crewe Alexandra
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
gameweek 30
Crewe
0-3
Grimsby Town
McAtee (3'), Lloyd (31'), Dickson-Peters (84')
Green (73')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
4-0
Crewe
Waterfall (13'), Green (34'), Smith (56'), Wearne (86')
Amos (3')

Mellor (65')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
gameweek 45
Crewe
P-P
Grimsby Town
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
gameweek 7
Grimsby Town
0-2
Crewe

Hanson (49')
Lowery (46'), Kirk (91')
Powell (62'), Kirk (92')
May 4, 2019 3pm
gameweek 46
Grimsby Town
2-0
Crewe
Davis (26'), Grayson (34')
Wright (62')

Sass-Davies (12'), Ng (19')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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