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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Gillingham
2 - 1
Crewe

Nichols (56'), O'Brien (70')
MacDonald (11'), Ehmer (90+5')
Harris (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ainley (62')
Griffiths (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

Crewe Alexandra's miserable away-day fortunes are showing no signs of coming to an end anytime soon, and facing a Gillingham side with a taste for wins at home is hardly a recipe for success. Harris has implored his players to give him a response to Saturday's defeat, and we expect the Gills to do just that, even if Crewe's backline will be reinforced by the returning McDonald. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.28% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 26.14% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61%79.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.68% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.88% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)80.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 53.27%
    Crewe Alexandra 20.57%
    Draw 26.14%
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.67%
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.27%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 9.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.03%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.57%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
72.9%
Draw
12.5%
Crewe Alexandra
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-0
Crewe
Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
Long (11'), Lowery (90+1')
Offord (68')

O'Keefe (47'), Phillips (61')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
Gillingham
4-1
Crewe
Graham (11' pen.), Lee (38', 62'), Dempsey (45')
Oliver (46'), Cundy (67'), Akinde (90+3')
Porter (80')
Johnson (90+4')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Crewe
0-1
Gillingham

Offord (12'), Ng (76'), Mandron (83')
Akinde (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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