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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Salford City

Crewe
4 - 3
Salford City

Agyei (31' pen., 90'), Tabiner (40'), O'Riordan (87')
Finnigan (90+7'), Agyei (90+1'), Finnigan (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Barry (19'), Hendry (45'), Mallan (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Salford City

While Crewe have picked up four points from their last four home games, Salford have accumulated the same number of points from their last four away matches, and a closely-fought contest between the two sides could be on the cards on Friday. Nevertheless, Salford will be regarded as favourites to come out on top, and they should have enough quality in the final third to breach Crewe's backline to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSalford City
24.77% (-0.367 -0.37) 25.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 50.09% (0.425 0.42)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (-0.055 -0.05)51.4% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)35.54% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (-0.36 -0.36)72.31% (0.357 0.36)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.155 0.16)20.53% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (0.247 0.25)53.03% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 24.77%
    Salford City 50.09%
    Draw 25.13%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.77%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.15% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 50.09%

How you voted: Crewe vs Salford City

Crewe Alexandra
26.9%
Draw
19.2%
Salford City
53.8%
26
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Salford City
3-0
Crewe
McAleny (17'), Thomas-Asante (50', 53')
Nartey (14'), Watt (44')

Mellor (29'), Baker-Richardson (90+2')
Sambou (31')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Salford City
3-1
Crewe
Towell (7'), Thomas-Asante (12'), Wintle (85' og.)
Jones (14'), Neal (40'), Touray (44')
Ng (82')
Powell (45')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Crewe
4-1
Salford City
Porter (50'), Lowery (57', 82'), Pickering (62')
Rooney (39')
Hughes (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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