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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
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Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Newport County

Salford City
3 - 1
Newport

Hendry (45+1'), McAleny (46'), Smith (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Charsley (29')
Moriah-Welsh (45+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Salford City
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawNewport County
40.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.29% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.09% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)68.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 40.58%
    Newport County 32.13%
    Draw 27.28%
Salford CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.13%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Newport
2-3
Salford City
Bennett (72'), Bogle (75')
Demetriou (18'), Lewis (39'), Bogle (73')
Bolton (54'), Norman (57' og.), Leak (83')
Nartey (10'), Vassell (74')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Salford City
3-0
Newport
Wright (1'), McAleny (18'), Henderson (30')
Touray (32'), Morris (41'), Henderson (60'), N’Mai (90+1')

Abraham (45+3'), Upson (72'), Norman (74')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7pm
Salford City
1-1
Newport
Clarke (44')
Threlkeld (75'), Hladky (87'), Touray (90+3')
Sheehan (90+4' pen.)
Willmott (56'), Shephard (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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