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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Swindon Town

Newport
2 - 1
Swindon

Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Clarke (16'), Farquharson (38'), Norman (60'), Townsend (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adeloye (90+1')
Kadji (42')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Newport
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Gillingham
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
37.7% (1.345 1.35) 26.89% (0.0040000000000013 0) 35.41% (-1.349 -1.35)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)53.94% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)75.39% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.76900000000001 0.77)27.73% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.977 0.98)63.3% (-0.977 -0.98)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.842 -0.84)29.1% (0.842 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-1.051 -1.05)65.02% (1.051 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 37.7%
    Swindon Town 35.41%
    Draw 26.88%
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.175 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.293 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.7%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.96% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Jephcott (51')
Gladwin (13')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Newport
1-2
Swindon
Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-0
Swindon
Sheehan (1'), Matt (49')
Matt (79'), King (90')

Grant (28'), Jaiyesimi (42'), Yates (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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