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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Gillingham

Swindon
3 - 3
Gillingham

Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Khan (41'), Brennan (69')
Khan (81')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
Dieng (24'), Nichols (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 5-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Gillingham

 Given the form of Gillingham, their league placing currently matters little, and they will have full belief that they can secure three points on Saturday. However, with Swindon in solid form themselves, we feel a draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
65.97% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 20.87%13.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 43.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)14.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)42.51%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)48.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)83.64% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 65.95%
    Gillingham 13.16%
    Draw 20.87%
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.59%
2-0 @ 13.12%
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.1%
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.21%
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 65.95%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.87%
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 13.16%

How you voted: Swindon vs Gillingham

Swindon Town
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Gillingham
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
0-0
Swindon

Mnoga (6')
Mnoga (10')

Williams (55')
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Swindon
1-3
Gillingham
Pitman (41')
Twine (76')
Oliver (59', 63'), Dempsey (68')
Ogilvie (47'), O'Keefe (76')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
Gillingham
2-0
Swindon
Oliver (17'), Coyle (80')
Robertson (12'), McKenzie (62')

Payne (25'), Odimayo (42'), Conroy (53')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Swindon
3-1
Gillingham
Ince (56'), Obika (61'), Branco (75')
McDonald (10')
Wagstaff (94')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-1
Swindon
Donnelly (71')
Ehmer (25'), Konchesky (54'), Wright (65'), Jackson (70')
Doughty (55' pen.)
Rodgers (31'), Barry (76'), Vigouroux (81'), Ormonde-Ottewill (90')
Ormonde-Ottewill (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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