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AFC Wimbledon
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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Colchester United

Gillingham
0 - 1
Colchester


Ehmer (45+2'), Tutonda (68'), Kashket (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tchamadeu (26')
Tovide (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 0-0 Colchester United

These sides are where they are for a reason, because neither possesses a ton of depth nor quality in the attacking third, and we anticipate a passive affair on Boxing Day between a pair of clubs that might be too afraid to come away empty-handed, given how tight the relegation standings are at the moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawColchester United
44.5% (-0.178 -0.18) 28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.49% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.22% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.145 0.15)60.24% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.109 0.11)80.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)26.97% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)62.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93% (0.242 0.24)38.07% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16% (0.234 0.23)74.84% (-0.233 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 44.5%
    Colchester United 27.49%
    Draw 27.99%
GillinghamDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.49%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Colchester

Gillingham
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Colchester United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-1
Colchester
Gillingham win 5-4 on penalties
Walker (43')
Baggott (16')
Akinde (45')
Sep 7, 2021 7.30pm
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-3
Colchester
O'Keefe (23'), Mandron (78')
Cowan-Hall (8', 63'), Robinson (55')
Wiredu (75')
Oct 3, 2017 7.45pm
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Colchester
Samuel (70')
Garmston (79')

Massey (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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