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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Gillingham

Crawley
0 - 0
Gillingham

FT

Ehmer (18'), Gbode (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Gillingham

 Crawley have been in good form since Young replaced Betsy in their managerial dugout last month, and we can envisage their winning home run continuing on Tuesday. Gillingham have lost four league matches in a row without scoring in any of them, and while the latter could end against the division's second weakest defence, the former streak may continue a little longer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGillingham
45.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.6% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.44% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.84%
    Gillingham 27.56%
    Draw 26.59%
Crawley TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.56%

How you voted: Crawley vs Gillingham

Crawley Town
74.3%
Draw
8.6%
Gillingham
17.1%
35
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
 Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
Coyle (41'), Oliver (50')
Woods (67')
Ferguson (78')
McNerney (75')
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
List (57'), Stevenson (86')
Mbo (45'), Simpson (68'), Parrett (83')
Poleon (17')
McNerney (30')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (63')
Wordsworth (61'), McLeod (68')
Dack (40'), McGlashan (81')
Morris (68'), Dack (68')
Nov 11, 2014 7.45pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (21' pen.)
Edwards (29'), Walsh (51'), Tomlin (58'), McLeod (65')
McGlashan (68'), Loft (87')
Dickenson (78')
Martin (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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