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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Stevenage

Gillingham
1 - 1
Stevenage

Baggott (40')
Adelakun (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rose (28')
Rose (39'), Roberts (55'), Earley (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Stevenage

Gillingham have been playing well as of late, despite their league positioning, and that is something that could lead to them causing problems on Sunday. However, even with the confidence that the hosts have, Saturday will likely prove to be a difficult test for them against a team proving to be dominant right now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawStevenage
29.43% (-0.029 -0.03) 27.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 43.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.63% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)56.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (-0.029 -0.03)77.45% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)34.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)71.19% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.79% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)60.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 29.43%
    Stevenage 43.4%
    Draw 27.16%
GillinghamDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.43%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 8.17% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.4%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Stevenage

Gillingham
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
0-1
Gillingham

Day (17'), Henry (19')
Norris (17' pen.)
Dack (93')
Hoyte (64')
Feb 4, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
3-1
Gillingham
Zoko (22' pen.), Charles (30', 59')
Jones (49'), Charles (87')
McDonald (56')
Gregory (70'), Smith (79')
Hewitt (21')
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
3-2
Stevenage
Kedwell (47' pen.), Daniels (52'), Mousinho (76')
Heslop (37'), Zoko (60')
Hartley (84')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Gillingham

Beardsley (18'), Foster (90')
Akinfenwa (50'), McDonald (45')
Gowling (27'), Maher (45'), Lawrence (89')
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Stevenage
Akinfenwa (38')
Spiller (90')

Beardsley (3'), Foster (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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