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Walsall
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Gillingham

Hartlepool
0 - 0
Gillingham


Umerah (45')
FT

Wright (19'), O'Keefe (36'), Ehmer (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 2-1 Gillingham

Neither of these teams are coming into this match with much confidence right now, and that is something that could lead to a struggle for quality in this one. However, Hartlepool could be set to enjoy a new manager bounce in this game, and if Curle can make an immediate impact it could lead to their first win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawGillingham
40.18% (-0.16 -0.16) 29.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 30.53% (0.169 0.17)
Both teams to score 43.26% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)63.39% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.25% (0.056000000000001 0.06)82.75% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)30.9% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)67.19% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61% (0.174 0.17)37.38% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (0.17 0.17)74.17% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 40.17%
    Gillingham 30.52%
    Draw 29.28%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.56% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 40.17%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.28%
0-1 @ 11.36% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 30.52%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Gillingham

Hartlepool United
65.9%
Draw
22.0%
Gillingham
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2018 7.45pm
Hartlepool
3-4
Gillingham
Magnay (21'), McLaughlin (32'), O'Neill (115')
Featherstone (45'), Loach (90')
Ehmer (50'), Eaves (90' pen.), O'Neill (102'), List (107')
Fuller (59'), Bingham (59')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Jan 26, 2010 3pm
Aug 22, 2009 3pm
Gillingham
0-1
Hartlepool

Miller (36'), Nutter (82')
Brown (65')
Hartley (13'), McSweeney (72')
Mar 8, 2008 3pm
Hartlepool
4-0
Gillingham
Collins (74'), McCunnie (90'), Monkhouse (21'), Porter (26')
Lee-Barrett (69')

Fuller (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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