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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Stevenage |
31.46% ( -0.07) | 26.32% ( -0.07) | 42.22% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 52.1% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.58% ( 0.25) | 52.42% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.9% ( 0.21) | 74.1% ( -0.21) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% ( 0.08) | 30.92% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.78% ( 0.09) | 67.21% ( -0.08) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% ( 0.18) | 24.58% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% ( 0.25) | 59.07% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.46% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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