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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
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Gillingham
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Salford City
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Salford City

Gillingham
0 - 3
Salford City


Reeves (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vassell (54'), Watson (61'), Hendry (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Salford City

Gillingham have been stronger at home than on the road this season, but despite having that improved form it is still unlikely that they will take three points this weekend. Salford City must get back to winning ways in the league to keep the pressure on the other teams pushing for promotion, and that is what they should be able to do here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSalford City
31.73% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 28.07% (-0.3 -0.3) 40.21% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.871 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41% (1.074 1.07)59% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.53% (0.826 0.83)79.47% (-0.81800000000001 -0.82)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (0.64 0.64)34.12% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (0.681 0.68)70.81% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.64200000000001 0.64)28.72% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.791 0.79)64.55% (-0.785 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 31.72%
    Salford City 40.2%
    Draw 28.06%
GillinghamDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.72%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.8% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 12.22% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 40.2%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Salford City

Gillingham
35.7%
Draw
7.1%
Salford City
57.1%
14
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815


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