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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Gillingham

Stevenage
1 - 0
Gillingham

Piergianni (23')
Sweeney (34'), Gilbey (64'), Rose (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Gillingham

 Given the sides' respective forms heading into this one, Gillingham will fancy themselves to come away with all three points with relative ease. We fancy the hosts to get the job done and kick off 2023 on a winning note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 11.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.47%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawGillingham
67.16% (0.206 0.21) 21.18% (-0.115 -0.11) 11.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 39.08% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (0.228 0.23)54.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (0.188 0.19)76.11% (-0.188 -0.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.145 0.14)15.53% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (0.26799999999999 0.27)44.46% (-0.266 -0.27)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)53.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.89% (-0.013 -0.01)87.11% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 67.16%
    Gillingham 11.66%
    Draw 21.18%
StevenageDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 15.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 14.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 67.16%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.18%
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 11.66%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Gillingham

Stevenage
85.0%
Draw
5.0%
Gillingham
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
1-1
Stevenage
Baggott (40')
Rose (28')
Rose (39')
Sep 2, 2014 7.45pm
First Round
Stevenage
0-1
Gillingham

Day (17'), Henry (19')
Norris (17' pen.)
Dack (93')
Hoyte (64')
Feb 4, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
3-1
Gillingham
Zoko (22' pen.), Charles (30', 59')
Jones (49'), Charles (87')
McDonald (56')
Gregory (70'), Smith (79')
Hewitt (21')
> Match Report
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
3-2
Stevenage
Kedwell (47' pen.), Daniels (52'), Mousinho (76')
Heslop (37'), Zoko (60')
Hartley (84')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Gillingham

Beardsley (18'), Foster (90')
Akinfenwa (50'), McDonald (45')
Gowling (27'), Maher (45'), Lawrence (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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