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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crawley Town

Stevenage
3 - 1
Crawley

Roberts (10'), Piergianni (40', 83')
Gilbey (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Telford (89' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 27 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Sutton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Crawley Town

Stevenage have won nine of their 11 home games this term, and we think that they will record another victory when they face a Crawley side who are still searching for their first away win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
69.08% (0.12599999999999 0.13) 19.12% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 11.79% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.31% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.54% (0.143 0.14)46.46% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.26% (0.135 0.13)68.73% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)12.33% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.86% (0.16 0.16)38.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.68% (-0.012 -0.01)48.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)83.46% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 69.07%
    Crawley Town 11.79%
    Draw 19.12%
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
2-0 @ 13.04%
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.1% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 19.12%
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.79%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Crawley

Stevenage
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Crawley Town
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Stevenage
Nadesan (47')
Craig (14')
Roberts (24'), Norris (85' pen.)
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Crawley
2-2
Stevenage
Nichols (34', 46')
Tilley (61')
Read (80'), Cuthbert (90+2')
Clements (37')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Stevenage
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (29'), Norris (73')
Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
3-3
Crawley
Norris (21' pen., 74'), Read (81')
Prosser (53')
Francomb (24'), Vancooten (80' og.), Powell (90+2')
McNerney (77')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Crawley
0-1
Stevenage

Craig (27'), Nichols (60'), Dallison (81')
Osborne (83')
Norris (37'), Pett (47'), Prosser (60'), Wildin (69'), Lines (73'), Coker (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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