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Stevenage
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7pm UK
The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
3 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Amoo (51'), Sweeney (69'), Read (75')
Reeves (24'), Norris (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Butler-Oyedeji (6'), Cozier-Duberry (74')
Foram (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Stevenage and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 3-1 Everton U21s
Sunday, November 6 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Arsenal Under-21s

In an intriguing cup clash, we expect a close contest between two sides that will likely result in the tie being settled by fine margins. Stevenage will be the ones to capitalise on this occasion and narrowly progress to the third round of the EFL Trophy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawArsenal Under-21s
45.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 29.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.6% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (0.02 0.02)72.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (0.019000000000005 0.02)22.36% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (0.028999999999996 0.03)55.85% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.61% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 45.18%
    Arsenal Under-21s 29.17%
    Draw 25.64%
StevenageDrawArsenal Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Arsenal U21s

Stevenage
61.9%
Draw
9.5%
Arsenal Under-21s
28.6%
21
rhs 2.0
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