Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Cambridge United and Arsenal Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 4-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Derby County | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Cambridge United | 6 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Charlton Athletic | 6 | 4 | 9 |
Last Game: Brighton U21s 2-2 Arsenal U21s
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal Under-21s | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace Under-21s | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Everton Under-21s | 4 | 5 | 10 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
37.95% ( 4.2) | 23.79% ( -0.12) | 38.25% ( -4.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.28% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
