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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Swindon Town

Crawley
2 - 0
Swindon

Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')
Lynch (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reed (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Swindon Town

 In a match that could hold significance at both ends of the table, we expect an open affair between two sides with a point to prove this weekend. Crawley will put in an improved display on recent showings, however, it will not be enough to prevent Swindon from claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
30.74% (-0.525 -0.52) 25.3% (0.149 0.15) 43.96% (0.374 0.37)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.867 -0.87)48.41% (0.866 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (-0.797 -0.8)70.55% (0.79700000000001 0.8)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.78500000000001 -0.79)29.38% (0.784 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.973 -0.97)65.37% (0.97199999999999 0.97)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (-0.19399999999999 -0.19)21.99% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (-0.293 -0.29)55.3% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 30.74%
    Swindon Town 43.96%
    Draw 25.29%
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.41% (0.178 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.96%

How you voted: Crawley vs Swindon

Crawley Town
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
Swindon Town
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Swindon
P-P
Crawley
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Crawley
0-4
Swindon

Tunnicliffe (47'), Dallison (58'), Grego-Cox (69'), Allarakhia (81')
Doyle (5', 44', 61'), Yates (87')
Grant (66')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Crawley
Morais (45')
Sesay (40'), Camara (42'), McNerney (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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