MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 21:05:05| >> :600:1278044:1278044:
Stockport County
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
Swindon Town

Stockport
4 - 0
Swindon

Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')
Brown (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Khan (1'), Hutton (29'), Reed (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Stockport County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Swindon Town

Both sides are in great form so we are expecting a tightly-contested affair at Edgeley Park. Stockport have been impressive defensively in recent weeks, and we think that could be the difference here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSwindon Town
48.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.51% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 48.03%
    Swindon Town 27.46%
    Draw 24.51%
Stockport CountyDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Stockport vs Swindon

Stockport County
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Swindon Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Sarcevic (84')
Brown (52'), Jennings (66')
Madden (80')
Blake-Tracy (49')
Blake-Tracy (50'), Reed (70')
Feb 23, 2010 3pm
Swindon
4-1
Stockport
Ferry (74'), Ward (4'), Paynter (45', 79')
Morrison (66')
Tansey (45')
Jan 19, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-1
Swindon

Pilkington (72'), Swailes (90'), Rose (90')
Paynter (73' pen.)
Jan 13, 2009 3pm
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Gleeson (32')
Gleeson (27')
Easton (49')
Aljofree (24'), Amankwaah (39'), Smith (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!