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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Carlisle United |
53.26% ( 0) | 24.15% ( 0) | 22.58% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.53% ( -0.02) | 49.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.49% ( -0.02) | 71.5% ( 0.01) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.48% ( -0.01) | 18.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.26% ( -0.01) | 49.73% ( 0) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.53% ( -0.02) | 36.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.74% ( -0.02) | 73.25% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |